Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

NBL1 East Australia · 17

CanberraHOME · -

92 : 632022.08.06 · 종료

Manly W.AWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME73.9%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY26.1%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM66 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100

AI PICK HOME 73.3% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +73.9%

VALUE EDGE+73.9%

FAIR ODDS1.35

GRADEB

CanberraAnalysis MetricsManly W.

41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%

-2.50 Point MarginHigher is better +0.50

157.17 Pace ProxyComparison metric 159.00

37.5% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 20.0%

0.9일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.1일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

66/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.5 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement6.4 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

73.9%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

26.1%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Canberra

L · 90-91L · 102-77W · 95-68W · 105-81W · 106-85

Manly W.

L · 102-104W · 81-72W · 77-95L · 94-87W · 82-80

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2026.03.28	Manly W.	75 : 80	Canberra
2025.06.14	Manly W.	90 : 102	Canberra
2022.08.06	Canberra	92 : 63	Manly W.
2022.05.28	Manly W.	87 : 92	Canberra