Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 East
Australia · 17

CanberraHOME · -
92 : 632022.08.06 · 종료
Manly W.AWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME73.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY26.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM66 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
HOME 73.3%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+73.9%
VALUE EDGE+73.9%
FAIR ODDS1.35
GRADEB
CanberraAnalysis MetricsManly W.
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
-2.50
Point MarginHigher is better
+0.50
157.17
Pace ProxyComparison metric
159.00
37.5%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
20.0%
0.9일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
66/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement6.4 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Canberra
L · 90-91L · 102-77W · 95-68W · 105-81W · 106-85
Manly W.
L · 102-104W · 81-72W · 77-95L · 94-87W · 82-80
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.03.28 | Manly W. | 75 : 80 | Canberra |
| 2025.06.14 | Manly W. | 90 : 102 | Canberra |
| 2022.08.06 | Canberra | 92 : 63 | Manly W. |
| 2022.05.28 | Manly W. | 87 : 92 | Canberra |