Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

NBL1 East Australia · 16

Norths BearsHOME · -

76 : 692022.07.31 · 종료

Newcastle FalconsAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME55.3%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY44.7%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100

AI PICK HOME 54.0% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +55.3%

VALUE EDGE+55.3%

FAIR ODDS1.81

GRADEA

Norths BearsAnalysis MetricsNewcastle Falcons

75.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 66.7%

+10.50 Point MarginHigher is better +0.75

161.33 Pace ProxyComparison metric 162.92

83.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 57.1%

0.8일 Rest daysComparison metric 0.8일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

73/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.9 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement14.5 / 15

Prediction separation4.6 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

55.3%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

44.7%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Norths Bears

W · 82-89W · 81-76L · 98-66W · 97-80W · 69-60

Newcastle Falcons

L · 98-61L · 72-59L · 95-68W · 84-92L · 54-55

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2026.05.09	Norths Bears	95 : 80	Newcastle Falcons
2025.06.21	Norths Bears	102 : 70	Newcastle Falcons
2025.05.31	Newcastle Falcons	78 : 68	Norths Bears
2022.08.13	Newcastle Falcons	93 : 72	Norths Bears
2022.07.31	Norths Bears	76 : 69	Newcastle Falcons