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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NBL1 East Australia · 16
Inner West BullsHOME · -
98 : 612022.07.30 · 종료
Newcastle FalconsAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME40.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY59.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100
AI PICK AWAY 54.0% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +59.6%
VALUE EDGE+59.6%
FAIR ODDS1.68
GRADEA
Inner West BullsAnalysis MetricsNewcastle Falcons
33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 66.7%
-9.58 Point MarginHigher is better +0.75
169.08 Pace ProxyComparison metric 162.92
0.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 57.1%
6.2일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

74/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.0 / 15
Prediction separation8.2 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
40.4%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
59.6%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Inner West Bulls
L · 86-84L · 81-76L · 77-95L · 106-85L · 94-70
Newcastle Falcons
L · 72-59L · 95-68W · 84-92L · 54-55W · 78-66

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.07.04Inner West Bulls79 : 92Newcastle Falcons
2026.05.03Newcastle Falcons81 : 86Inner West Bulls
2025.05.25Inner West Bulls69 : 93Newcastle Falcons
2022.07.30Inner West Bulls98 : 61Newcastle Falcons
2022.04.09Newcastle Falcons62 : 73Inner West Bulls