Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 East
Australia · 16
Manly W.HOME · -
102 : 1042022.07.30 · 종료
Illawarra HawksAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME51.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY48.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
87/100
AI PICK
HOME 52.4%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+51.4%
VALUE EDGE+51.4%
FAIR ODDS1.95
GRADEA
Manly W.Analysis MetricsIllawarra Hawks
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
+0.50
Point MarginHigher is better
-5.50
159.00
Pace ProxyComparison metric
203.17
71.4%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
57.1%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
6.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
70/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.1 / 15
Prediction separation1.2 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Manly W.
W · 81-72W · 77-95L · 94-87W · 82-80L · 69-60
Illawarra Hawks
W · 102-77W · 71-90L · 64-103L · 78-66W · 75-62
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022.07.30 | Manly W. | 102 : 104 | Illawarra Hawks |
| 2022.05.14 | Illawarra Hawks | 90 : 72 | Manly W. |