Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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NBL1 East Australia · 15

Illawarra HawksHOME · -

102 : 772022.07.23 · 종료

CanberraAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME40.8%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY59.2%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 89/100

AI PICK AWAY 54.0% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +59.2%

VALUE EDGE+59.2%

FAIR ODDS1.69

GRADEA

Illawarra HawksAnalysis MetricsCanberra

41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%

-5.50 Point MarginHigher is better -2.50

203.17 Pace ProxyComparison metric 157.17

20.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 50.0%

7.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.2일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

71/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.1 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement14.5 / 15

Prediction separation7.9 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

40.8%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

59.2%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Illawarra Hawks

W · 71-90L · 64-103L · 78-66W · 75-62L · 97-77

Canberra

W · 95-68W · 105-81W · 106-85W · 79-102W · 69-70

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2022.08.27	Canberra	106 : 75	Illawarra Hawks
2022.07.23	Illawarra Hawks	102 : 77	Canberra
2022.04.10	Canberra	89 : 97	Illawarra Hawks