Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 East
Australia · 14
CanberraHOME · -
95 : 682022.07.17 · 종료
Newcastle FalconsAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME55.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY44.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
HOME 54.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+55.2%
VALUE EDGE+55.2%
FAIR ODDS1.81
GRADEA
CanberraAnalysis MetricsNewcastle Falcons
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
66.7%
-2.50
Point MarginHigher is better
+0.75
157.17
Pace ProxyComparison metric
162.92
37.5%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
57.1%
1.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
0.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
69/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement8.4 / 15
Prediction separation4.5 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Canberra
W · 105-81W · 106-85W · 79-102W · 69-70L · 86-89
Newcastle Falcons
W · 84-92L · 54-55W · 78-66W · 89-70L · 93-71
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.04.19 | Newcastle Falcons | 62 : 71 | Canberra |
| 2025.05.11 | Newcastle Falcons | 75 : 69 | Canberra |
| 2022.07.17 | Canberra | 95 : 68 | Newcastle Falcons |
| 2022.05.01 | Newcastle Falcons | 68 : 65 | Canberra |