Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 East
Australia · 14
Hills HornetsHOME · -
90 : 952022.07.16 · 종료
Maitland M.AWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME47.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY52.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
AWAY 52.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+52.3%
VALUE EDGE+52.3%
FAIR ODDS1.91
GRADEA
Hills HornetsAnalysis MetricsMaitland M.
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
66.7%
-2.75
Point MarginHigher is better
+8.08
159.92
Pace ProxyComparison metric
169.92
50.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
50.0%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
71/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.5 / 15
Prediction separation2.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Hills Hornets
W · 54-55W · 94-70L · 79-102L · 75-62L · 72-74
Maitland M.
W · 81-70W · 93-71L · 105-92W · 90-89W · 77-68
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.07.04 | Hills Hornets | 82 : 72 | Maitland M. |
| 2026.05.23 | Maitland M. | 102 : 84 | Hills Hornets |
| 2025.04.12 | Maitland M. | 88 : 84 | Hills Hornets |
| 2022.07.16 | Hills Hornets | 90 : 95 | Maitland M. |