Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 East
Australia · 13
Newcastle FalconsHOME · -
54 : 552022.07.09 · 종료
Hills HornetsAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME71.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY28.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
HOME 72.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+71.6%
VALUE EDGE+71.6%
FAIR ODDS1.40
GRADEA
Newcastle FalconsAnalysis MetricsHills Hornets
66.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
+0.75
Point MarginHigher is better
-2.75
162.92
Pace ProxyComparison metric
159.92
80.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
33.3%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
6.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
72/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.9 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Newcastle Falcons
W · 78-66W · 89-70L · 93-71W · 65-82W · 62-73
Hills Hornets
W · 94-70L · 79-102L · 75-62L · 72-74L · 73-55
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.03.29 | Newcastle Falcons | 75 : 78 | Hills Hornets |
| 2025.07.20 | Newcastle Falcons | 58 : 90 | Hills Hornets |
| 2022.07.09 | Newcastle Falcons | 54 : 55 | Hills Hornets |
| 2022.04.23 | Hills Hornets | 50 : 82 | Newcastle Falcons |