Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 East
Australia · 12
Hills HornetsHOME · -
79 : 1022022.07.02 · 종료
CanberraAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME48.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY51.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
AWAY 52.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+51.4%
VALUE EDGE+51.4%
FAIR ODDS1.95
GRADEA
Hills HornetsAnalysis MetricsCanberra
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
-2.75
Point MarginHigher is better
-2.50
159.92
Pace ProxyComparison metric
157.17
50.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
50.0%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
68/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement9.7 / 15
Prediction separation1.2 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Hills Hornets
L · 75-62L · 72-74L · 73-55W · 72-79W · 78-80
Canberra
W · 69-70L · 86-89W · 71-97W · 87-92W · 110-74
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.05.10 | Hills Hornets | 77 : 103 | Canberra |
| 2025.07.13 | Hills Hornets | 69 : 80 | Canberra |
| 2022.07.02 | Hills Hornets | 79 : 102 | Canberra |
| 2022.05.07 | Canberra | 95 : 83 | Hills Hornets |