Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

NBL1 East Australia · 12

Newcastle FalconsHOME · -

78 : 662022.07.02 · 종료

Illawarra HawksAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME68.5%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY31.5%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 87/100

AI PICK HOME 67.4% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +68.5%

VALUE EDGE+68.5%

FAIR ODDS1.46

GRADEA

Newcastle FalconsAnalysis MetricsIllawarra Hawks

66.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%

+0.75 Point MarginHigher is better -5.50

162.92 Pace ProxyComparison metric 203.17

80.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 57.1%

7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

72/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage17.7 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement14.1 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

68.5%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

31.5%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Newcastle Falcons

W · 89-70L · 93-71W · 65-82W · 62-73W · 92-61

Illawarra Hawks

W · 75-62L · 97-77W · 102-94W · 72-100L · 85-86

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2022.07.02	Newcastle Falcons	78 : 66	Illawarra Hawks
2022.05.21	Illawarra Hawks	85 : 86	Newcastle Falcons