Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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NBL1 East Australia · 12

Norths BearsHOME · -

69 : 602022.07.02 · 종료

Manly W.AWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME60.0%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY40.0%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100

AI PICK HOME 58.6% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +60.0%

VALUE EDGE+60.0%

FAIR ODDS1.67

GRADES

Norths BearsAnalysis MetricsManly W.

75.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%

+10.50 Point MarginHigher is better +0.50

161.33 Pace ProxyComparison metric 159.00

83.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 20.0%

7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

75/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage19.3 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement14.2 / 15

Prediction separation8.6 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

60.0%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

40.0%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Norths Bears

W · 76-73W · 73-55L · 82-79L · 72-100L · 99-90

Manly W.

L · 89-70L · 69-81W · 105-92L · 62-73L · 87-92

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2026.07.10	Norths Bears	91 : 74	Manly W.
2025.07.26	Norths Bears	81 : 73	Manly W.
2025.06.29	Norths Bears	90 : 78	Manly W.
2025.04.05	Manly W.	80 : 61	Norths Bears
2022.07.02	Norths Bears	69 : 60	Manly W.
2022.05.07	Manly W.	66 : 59	Norths Bears