Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 East
Australia · 10
Maitland M.HOME · -
93 : 712022.06.18 · 종료
Newcastle FalconsAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME28.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY71.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM67 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
95/100
AI PICK
AWAY 72.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+71.1%
VALUE EDGE+71.1%
FAIR ODDS1.41
GRADEB
Maitland M.Analysis MetricsNewcastle Falcons
66.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
66.7%
+8.08
Point MarginHigher is better
+0.75
169.92
Pace ProxyComparison metric
162.92
83.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
57.1%
14.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
67/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement6.6 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Maitland M.
L · 105-92W · 90-89W · 77-68W · 64-71L · 91-73
Newcastle Falcons
W · 65-82W · 62-73W · 92-61W · 85-86W · 78-75
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.07.18 | Maitland M. | 80 : 73 | Newcastle Falcons |
| 2026.05.16 | Newcastle Falcons | 81 : 73 | Maitland M. |
| 2025.07.12 | Maitland M. | 95 : 116 | Newcastle Falcons |
| 2025.05.03 | Newcastle Falcons | 84 : 61 | Maitland M. |
| 2022.06.18 | Maitland M. | 93 : 71 | Newcastle Falcons |
| 2022.04.02 | Newcastle Falcons | 57 : 70 | Maitland M. |