Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 East
Australia · 8
Manly W.HOME · -
62 : 732022.05.29 · 종료
Newcastle FalconsAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME34.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY66.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
AWAY 67.4%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+66.0%
VALUE EDGE+66.0%
FAIR ODDS1.51
GRADEA
Manly W.Analysis MetricsNewcastle Falcons
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
66.7%
+0.50
Point MarginHigher is better
+0.75
159.00
Pace ProxyComparison metric
162.92
71.4%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
57.1%
0.9일
Rest daysComparison metric
0.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
69/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.8 / 15
Prediction separation13.7 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Manly W.
L · 87-92L · 88-96L · 90-72W · 76-64W · 66-59
Newcastle Falcons
W · 92-61W · 85-86W · 78-75W · 80-70W · 68-65
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.06.27 | Newcastle Falcons | 92 : 71 | Manly W. |
| 2025.06.28 | Manly W. | 88 : 81 | Newcastle Falcons |
| 2022.06.25 | Newcastle Falcons | 89 : 70 | Manly W. |
| 2022.05.29 | Manly W. | 62 : 73 | Newcastle Falcons |