Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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NBL1 East Australia · 8

Newcastle FalconsHOME · -

92 : 612022.05.28 · 종료

Albury-Wodonga BanditsAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME50.1%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY49.9%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100

AI PICK HOME 52.5% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +50.1%

VALUE EDGE+50.1%

FAIR ODDS2.00

GRADEA

Newcastle FalconsAnalysis MetricsAlbury-Wodonga Bandits

66.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 16.7%

+0.75 Point MarginHigher is better -11.67

162.92 Pace ProxyComparison metric 180.17

80.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 33.3%

7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

73/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.5 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement11.1 / 15

Prediction separation0.1 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

50.1%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

49.9%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Newcastle Falcons

W · 85-86W · 78-75W · 80-70W · 68-65W · 50-82

Albury-Wodonga Bandits

W · 99-90L · 113-93W · 79-76L · 71-93W · 101-108

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2026.06.20	Albury-Wodonga Bandits	92 : 93	Newcastle Falcons
2025.04.06	Newcastle Falcons	72 : 77	Albury-Wodonga Bandits
2022.07.16	Albury-Wodonga Bandits	84 : 92	Newcastle Falcons
2022.05.28	Newcastle Falcons	92 : 61	Albury-Wodonga Bandits