Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

NBL1 East Australia · 8

Norths BearsHOME · -

72 : 1002022.05.28 · 종료

Illawarra HawksAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME60.9%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY39.1%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 89/100

AI PICK HOME 58.6% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +60.9%

VALUE EDGE+60.9%

FAIR ODDS1.64

GRADEA

Norths BearsAnalysis MetricsIllawarra Hawks

75.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%

+10.50 Point MarginHigher is better -5.50

161.33 Pace ProxyComparison metric 203.17

83.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 57.1%

7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

73/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.1 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement13.9 / 15

Prediction separation9.3 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

60.9%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

39.1%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Norths Bears

L · 99-90L · 84-79L · 66-59W · 78-73W · 76-72

Illawarra Hawks

L · 85-86W · 90-72W · 103-93L · 97-92W · 73-96

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2022.08.20	Illawarra Hawks	94 : 82	Norths Bears
2022.08.06	Illawarra Hawks	91 : 77	Norths Bears
2022.05.28	Norths Bears	72 : 100	Illawarra Hawks