Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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NBL1 East Australia · 8

Manly W.HOME · -

87 : 922022.05.28 · 종료

CanberraAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME69.1%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY30.9%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100

AI PICK HOME 67.4% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +69.1%

VALUE EDGE+69.1%

FAIR ODDS1.45

GRADEA

Manly W.Analysis MetricsCanberra

50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%

+0.50 Point MarginHigher is better -2.50

159.00 Pace ProxyComparison metric 157.17

71.4% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 50.0%

7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

70/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.5 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement12.8 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

69.1%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

30.9%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Manly W.

L · 88-96L · 90-72W · 76-64W · 66-59W · 71-93

Canberra

W · 110-74W · 113-93W · 95-83L · 68-65W · 83-88

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2026.03.28	Manly W.	75 : 80	Canberra
2025.06.14	Manly W.	90 : 102	Canberra
2022.08.06	Canberra	92 : 63	Manly W.
2022.05.28	Manly W.	87 : 92	Canberra