Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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NBL1 East Australia · 7

Illawarra HawksHOME · -

85 : 862022.05.21 · 종료

Newcastle FalconsAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME22.9%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY77.1%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 87/100

AI PICK AWAY 77.8% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +77.1%

VALUE EDGE+77.1%

FAIR ODDS1.30

GRADEA

Illawarra HawksAnalysis MetricsNewcastle Falcons

41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 66.7%

-5.50 Point MarginHigher is better +0.75

203.17 Pace ProxyComparison metric 162.92

20.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 57.1%

7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

72/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage17.7 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement12.9 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

22.9%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

77.1%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Illawarra Hawks

W · 90-72W · 103-93L · 97-92W · 73-96W · 87-75

Newcastle Falcons

W · 78-75W · 80-70W · 68-65W · 50-82L · 62-73

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2022.07.02	Newcastle Falcons	78 : 66	Illawarra Hawks
2022.05.21	Illawarra Hawks	85 : 86	Newcastle Falcons