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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NBL1 East Australia · 7
Manly W.HOME · -
88 : 962022.05.21 · 종료
Hills HornetsAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME66.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY33.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100
AI PICK HOME 67.4% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +66.6%
VALUE EDGE+66.6%
FAIR ODDS1.50
GRADEA
Manly W.Analysis MetricsHills Hornets
50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%
+0.50 Point MarginHigher is better -2.75
159.00 Pace ProxyComparison metric 159.92
71.4% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 33.3%
6.9일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

70/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.7 / 15
Prediction separation14.2 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
66.6%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
33.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Manly W.
L · 90-72W · 76-64W · 66-59W · 71-93L · 73-74
Hills Hornets
L · 58-62L · 95-83W · 97-92L · 101-108L · 50-82

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.05.30Manly W.74 : 60Hills Hornets
2026.04.10Hills Hornets75 : 93Manly W.
2025.05.31Manly W.80 : 82Hills Hornets
2022.05.21Manly W.88 : 96Hills Hornets
2022.04.10Hills Hornets82 : 41Manly W.