Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 East
Australia · 6
Newcastle FalconsHOME · -
78 : 752022.05.14 · 종료
Sutherland SharksAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME61.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY38.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
95/100
AI PICK
HOME 58.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+61.1%
VALUE EDGE+61.1%
FAIR ODDS1.64
GRADEB
Newcastle FalconsAnalysis MetricsSutherland Sharks
66.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
83.3%
+0.75
Point MarginHigher is better
+12.92
162.92
Pace ProxyComparison metric
163.75
80.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
80.0%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
68/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement8.5 / 15
Prediction separation9.5 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Newcastle Falcons
W · 80-70W · 68-65W · 50-82L · 62-73L · 57-70
Sutherland Sharks
W · 82-79W · 72-66L · 112-75W · 85-87
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.05.02 | Sutherland Sharks | 58 : 77 | Newcastle Falcons |
| 2025.07.05 | Newcastle Falcons | 87 : 77 | Sutherland Sharks |
| 2025.05.10 | Sutherland Sharks | 103 : 74 | Newcastle Falcons |
| 2022.08.20 | Newcastle Falcons | 78 : 96 | Sutherland Sharks |
| 2022.08.14 | Sutherland Sharks | 61 : 87 | Newcastle Falcons |
| 2022.05.14 | Newcastle Falcons | 78 : 75 | Sutherland Sharks |