Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 East
Australia · 5
Illawarra HawksHOME · -
103 : 932022.05.07 · 종료
Maitland M.AWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME32.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY67.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
87/100
AI PICK
AWAY 67.4%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+67.8%
VALUE EDGE+67.8%
FAIR ODDS1.47
GRADEA
Illawarra HawksAnalysis MetricsMaitland M.
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
66.7%
-5.50
Point MarginHigher is better
+8.08
203.17
Pace ProxyComparison metric
169.92
20.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
50.0%
6.3일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
73/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.8 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Illawarra Hawks
L · 97-92W · 73-96W · 87-75W · 89-97L · 101-93
Maitland M.
L · 83-88L · 76-72L · 90-87W · 57-70
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022.08.14 | Maitland M. | 106 : 81 | Illawarra Hawks |
| 2022.05.07 | Illawarra Hawks | 103 : 93 | Maitland M. |