Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 East
Australia · 5
Newcastle FalconsHOME · -
80 : 702022.05.07 · 종료
Central Coast CrusadersAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME42.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY57.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
93/100
AI PICK
AWAY 54.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+57.7%
VALUE EDGE+57.7%
FAIR ODDS1.73
GRADEA
Newcastle FalconsAnalysis MetricsCentral Coast Crusaders
66.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
66.7%
+0.75
Point MarginHigher is better
+4.08
162.92
Pace ProxyComparison metric
171.58
80.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
66.7%
6.2일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
68/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement8.8 / 15
Prediction separation6.6 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Newcastle Falcons
W · 68-65W · 50-82L · 62-73L · 57-70
Central Coast Crusaders
L · 78-73W · 88-83W · 87-79L · 68-85
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.07.11 | Central Coast Crusaders | 81 : 82 | Newcastle Falcons |
| 2025.07.19 | Newcastle Falcons | 111 : 80 | Central Coast Crusaders |
| 2025.04.05 | Central Coast Crusaders | 98 : 71 | Newcastle Falcons |
| 2022.07.23 | Central Coast Crusaders | 72 : 59 | Newcastle Falcons |
| 2022.05.07 | Newcastle Falcons | 80 : 70 | Central Coast Crusaders |