Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 East
Australia · 5
Manly W.HOME · -
66 : 592022.05.07 · 종료
Norths BearsAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME33.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY67.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
95/100
AI PICK
AWAY 67.4%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+67.0%
VALUE EDGE+67.0%
FAIR ODDS1.49
GRADEA
Manly W.Analysis MetricsNorths Bears
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
75.0%
+0.50
Point MarginHigher is better
+10.50
159.00
Pace ProxyComparison metric
161.33
71.4%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
66.7%
6.8일
Rest daysComparison metric
6.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
73/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.6 / 15
Prediction separation14.6 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Manly W.
W · 71-93L · 73-74L · 72-66L · 82-41W · 68-85
Norths Bears
W · 78-73W · 76-72W · 61-78L · 68-80
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.07.10 | Norths Bears | 91 : 74 | Manly W. |
| 2025.07.26 | Norths Bears | 81 : 73 | Manly W. |
| 2025.06.29 | Norths Bears | 90 : 78 | Manly W. |
| 2025.04.05 | Manly W. | 80 : 61 | Norths Bears |
| 2022.07.02 | Norths Bears | 69 : 60 | Manly W. |
| 2022.05.07 | Manly W. | 66 : 59 | Norths Bears |