Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 East
Australia · 5
CanberraHOME · -
95 : 832022.05.07 · 종료
Hills HornetsAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME32.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY67.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
AWAY 67.4%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+67.9%
VALUE EDGE+67.9%
FAIR ODDS1.47
GRADEA
CanberraAnalysis MetricsHills Hornets
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
-2.50
Point MarginHigher is better
-2.75
157.17
Pace ProxyComparison metric
159.92
37.5%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
33.3%
6.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
6.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
69/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.6 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Canberra
L · 68-65W · 83-88L · 89-97W · 112-75W · 68-80
Hills Hornets
W · 97-92L · 101-108L · 50-82W · 82-41L · 58-56
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.05.10 | Hills Hornets | 77 : 103 | Canberra |
| 2025.07.13 | Hills Hornets | 69 : 80 | Canberra |
| 2022.07.02 | Hills Hornets | 79 : 102 | Canberra |
| 2022.05.07 | Canberra | 95 : 83 | Hills Hornets |