Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 East
Australia · 4
Maitland M.HOME · -
83 : 882022.04.30 · 종료
CanberraAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME76.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY23.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
97/100
AI PICK
HOME 77.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+76.6%
VALUE EDGE+76.6%
FAIR ODDS1.31
GRADEA
Maitland M.Analysis MetricsCanberra
66.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
+8.08
Point MarginHigher is better
-2.50
169.92
Pace ProxyComparison metric
157.17
83.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
50.0%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
74/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.6 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.7 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Maitland M.
L · 76-72L · 90-87W · 57-70
Canberra
L · 89-97W · 112-75W · 68-80L · 92-78L · 89-82
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.07.25 | Canberra | 70 : 94 | Maitland M. |
| 2026.04.18 | Maitland M. | 73 : 75 | Canberra |
| 2025.07.19 | Canberra | 76 : 71 | Maitland M. |
| 2025.05.10 | Maitland M. | 86 : 72 | Canberra |
| 2022.08.28 | Canberra | 76 : 73 | Maitland M. |
| 2022.08.05 | Canberra | 90 : 91 | Maitland M. |
| 2022.04.30 | Maitland M. | 83 : 88 | Canberra |