Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

NBL1 East Australia · 3

Hills HornetsHOME · -

50 : 822022.04.23 · 종료

Newcastle FalconsAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME78.3%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY21.7%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM65 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100

AI PICK HOME 77.8% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +78.3%

VALUE EDGE+78.3%

FAIR ODDS1.28

GRADEB

Hills HornetsAnalysis MetricsNewcastle Falcons

41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 66.7%

-2.75 Point MarginHigher is better +0.75

159.92 Pace ProxyComparison metric 162.92

50.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 57.1%

13.3일 Rest daysComparison metric 14.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

65/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.5 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement5.5 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

78.3%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

21.7%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Hills Hornets

W · 82-41L · 58-56

Newcastle Falcons

L · 62-73L · 57-70

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2026.03.29	Newcastle Falcons	75 : 78	Hills Hornets
2025.07.20	Newcastle Falcons	58 : 90	Hills Hornets
2022.07.09	Newcastle Falcons	54 : 55	Hills Hornets
2022.04.23	Hills Hornets	50 : 82	Newcastle Falcons