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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NBL1 East Australia · 3
Sutherland SharksHOME · -
72 : 662022.04.23 · 종료
Manly W.AWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME60.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY39.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100
AI PICK HOME 58.6% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +60.5%
VALUE EDGE+60.5%
FAIR ODDS1.65
GRADEA
Sutherland SharksAnalysis MetricsManly W.
83.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%
+12.92 Point MarginHigher is better +0.50
163.75 Pace ProxyComparison metric 159.00
85.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 20.0%
14.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 13.3일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

74/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.6 / 15
Prediction separation9.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
60.5%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
39.5%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Sutherland Sharks
L · 112-75W · 85-87
Manly W.
L · 82-41W · 68-85

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.07.04Manly W.63 : 88Sutherland Sharks
2025.05.18Manly W.91 : 84Sutherland Sharks
2022.07.23Manly W.81 : 72Sutherland Sharks
2022.04.23Sutherland Sharks72 : 66Manly W.