Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

NBL1 East Australia · 2

CanberraHOME · -

89 : 972022.04.10 · 종료

Illawarra HawksAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME48.2%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY51.8%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM67 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 89/100

AI PICK AWAY 52.5% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +51.8%

VALUE EDGE+51.8%

FAIR ODDS1.93

GRADEB

CanberraAnalysis MetricsIllawarra Hawks

41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%

-2.50 Point MarginHigher is better -5.50

157.17 Pace ProxyComparison metric 203.17

37.5% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 57.1%

1.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 0.8일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

67/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.1 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement10.4 / 15

Prediction separation1.5 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

48.2%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

51.8%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Canberra

W · 112-75W · 68-80L · 92-78L · 89-82L · 95-70

Illawarra Hawks

L · 101-93L · 85-87L · 98-82L · 95-72L · 52-65

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2022.08.27	Canberra	106 : 75	Illawarra Hawks
2022.07.23	Illawarra Hawks	102 : 77	Canberra
2022.04.10	Canberra	89 : 97	Illawarra Hawks