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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NBL1 East Australia · 2
Newcastle FalconsHOME · -
62 : 732022.04.09 · 종료
Inner West BullsAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME33.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY66.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100
AI PICK AWAY 67.4% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +66.2%
VALUE EDGE+66.2%
FAIR ODDS1.51
GRADEA
Newcastle FalconsAnalysis MetricsInner West Bulls
66.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%
+0.75 Point MarginHigher is better -9.58
162.92 Pace ProxyComparison metric 169.08
80.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 57.1%
7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

69/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement3.8 / 15
Prediction separation13.9 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
33.8%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
66.2%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Newcastle Falcons
L · 57-70
Inner West Bulls
W · 58-56

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.07.04Inner West Bulls79 : 92Newcastle Falcons
2026.05.03Newcastle Falcons81 : 86Inner West Bulls
2025.05.25Inner West Bulls69 : 93Newcastle Falcons
2022.07.30Inner West Bulls98 : 61Newcastle Falcons
2022.04.09Newcastle Falcons62 : 73Inner West Bulls