Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 East
Australia · 1
Newcastle FalconsHOME · -
57 : 702022.04.02 · 종료
Maitland M.AWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME49.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY50.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
95/100
AI PICK
AWAY 52.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+50.9%
VALUE EDGE+50.9%
FAIR ODDS1.96
GRADEA
Newcastle FalconsAnalysis MetricsMaitland M.
66.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
66.7%
+0.75
Point MarginHigher is better
+8.08
162.92
Pace ProxyComparison metric
169.92
80.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
50.0%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
68/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement10.5 / 15
Prediction separation0.8 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Newcastle Falcons
Collecting Data
Maitland M.
Collecting Data
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.07.18 | Maitland M. | 80 : 73 | Newcastle Falcons |
| 2026.05.16 | Newcastle Falcons | 81 : 73 | Maitland M. |
| 2025.07.12 | Maitland M. | 95 : 116 | Newcastle Falcons |
| 2025.05.03 | Newcastle Falcons | 84 : 61 | Maitland M. |
| 2022.06.18 | Maitland M. | 93 : 71 | Newcastle Falcons |
| 2022.04.02 | Newcastle Falcons | 57 : 70 | Maitland M. |