Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 Central Women
Australia
Central Districts Lions WHOME · -
53 : 872023.06.17 · 종료
Southern Tigers WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME12.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY88.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
95/100
AI PICK
AWAY 88.9%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+88.0%
VALUE EDGE+88.0%
FAIR ODDS1.14
GRADES
Central Districts Lions WAnalysis MetricsSouthern Tigers W
16.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
58.3%
-18.00
Point MarginHigher is better
+7.58
155.33
Pace ProxyComparison metric
143.75
16.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
60.0%
14.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
75/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.1 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Central Districts Lions W
W · 68-72L · 95-64L · 71-80L · 86-82L · 69-62
Southern Tigers W
W · 52-78W · 53-72W · 79-68L · 53-64W · 62-79
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.06.17 | Central Districts Lions W | 53 : 87 | Southern Tigers W |
| 2023.04.22 | Southern Tigers W | 83 : 69 | Central Districts Lions W |
| 2022.08.06 | Southern Tigers W | 116 : 53 | Central Districts Lions W |
| 2022.05.07 | Central Districts Lions W | 59 : 86 | Southern Tigers W |
| 2021.07.10 | Southern Tigers W | 87 : 39 | Central Districts Lions W |
| 2021.05.01 | Central Districts Lions W | 34 : 118 | Southern Tigers W |