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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NBL1 Central Women Australia
Eastern Mavericks WHOME · -
86 : 822023.05.13 · 종료
Central Districts Lions WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME62.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY37.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100
AI PICK HOME 57.8% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +62.2%
VALUE EDGE+62.2%
FAIR ODDS1.61
GRADES
Eastern Mavericks WAnalysis MetricsCentral Districts Lions W
25.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 16.7%
-7.92 Point MarginHigher is better -20.50
154.92 Pace ProxyComparison metric 153.00
33.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 20.0%
7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

75/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.8 / 15
Prediction separation10.5 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
62.2%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
37.8%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Eastern Mavericks W
L · 100-77L · 67-83L · 70-65L · 77-94L · 83-74
Central Districts Lions W
L · 69-62L · 68-120L · 72-58L · 83-69L · 59-105

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.07.01Central Districts Lions W66 : 111Eastern Mavericks W
2023.05.13Eastern Mavericks W86 : 82Central Districts Lions W
2022.07.02Eastern Mavericks W100 : 78Central Districts Lions W
2022.04.23Central Districts Lions W60 : 84Eastern Mavericks W
2021.08.08Central Districts Lions W39 : 103Eastern Mavericks W
2021.05.22Eastern Mavericks W94 : 45Central Districts Lions W