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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NBL1 Central Women Australia
Southern Tigers WHOME · -
53 : 642023.05.13 · 종료
Sturt Sabres WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME52.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY47.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100
AI PICK HOME 52.5% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +52.1%
VALUE EDGE+52.1%
FAIR ODDS1.92
GRADEA
Southern Tigers WAnalysis MetricsSturt Sabres W
66.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 91.7%
+11.33 Point MarginHigher is better +12.00
145.67 Pace ProxyComparison metric 140.50
66.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 100.0%
7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

69/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement9.7 / 15
Prediction separation1.8 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
52.1%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
47.9%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Southern Tigers W
W · 62-79W · 83-61W · 68-80W · 83-69L · 75-67
Sturt Sabres W
W · 86-57W · 68-120W · 70-65W · 87-55W · 64-85

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.07.02Sturt Sabres W76 : 57Southern Tigers W
2023.05.13Southern Tigers W53 : 64Sturt Sabres W
2022.07.09Sturt Sabres W79 : 83Southern Tigers W
2022.04.30Southern Tigers W72 : 79Sturt Sabres W
2021.06.19Sturt Sabres W68 : 92Southern Tigers W
2021.04.10Southern Tigers W79 : 71Sturt Sabres W