Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 Central Women
Australia
Central Districts Lions WHOME · -
68 : 1202023.04.29 · 종료
Sturt Sabres WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME12.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY88.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM76 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
95/100
AI PICK
AWAY 88.9%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+88.0%
VALUE EDGE+88.0%
FAIR ODDS1.14
GRADES
Central Districts Lions WAnalysis MetricsSturt Sabres W
16.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
91.7%
-20.25
Point MarginHigher is better
+10.50
156.08
Pace ProxyComparison metric
138.33
14.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
100.0%
4.1일
Rest daysComparison metric
4.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
76/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.8 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Central Districts Lions W
L · 72-58L · 83-69L · 59-105L · 39-95L · 88-80
Sturt Sabres W
W · 70-65W · 87-55W · 64-85W · 66-68W · 79-69
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.07.08 | Sturt Sabres W | 75 : 65 | Central Districts Lions W |
| 2023.04.29 | Central Districts Lions W | 68 : 120 | Sturt Sabres W |
| 2022.07.23 | Central Districts Lions W | 70 : 102 | Sturt Sabres W |
| 2022.05.21 | Sturt Sabres W | 83 : 49 | Central Districts Lions W |
| 2021.06.26 | Sturt Sabres W | 105 : 35 | Central Districts Lions W |
| 2021.04.17 | Central Districts Lions W | 39 : 134 | Sturt Sabres W |