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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NBL1 Central Women Australia
Southern Tigers WHOME · -
83 : 692023.04.22 · 종료
Central Districts Lions WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME88.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY12.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100
AI PICK HOME 88.9% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +88.0%
VALUE EDGE+88.0%
FAIR ODDS1.14
GRADES
Southern Tigers WAnalysis MetricsCentral Districts Lions W
66.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 16.7%
+11.33 Point MarginHigher is better -20.25
145.67 Pace ProxyComparison metric 156.08
66.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 20.0%
7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

75/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.2 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
88.0%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
12.0%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Southern Tigers W
L · 75-67W · 74-58W · 58-74L · 58-64W · 116-53
Central Districts Lions W
L · 59-105L · 39-95L · 88-80L · 63-80L · 116-53

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.06.17Central Districts Lions W53 : 87Southern Tigers W
2023.04.22Southern Tigers W83 : 69Central Districts Lions W
2022.08.06Southern Tigers W116 : 53Central Districts Lions W
2022.05.07Central Districts Lions W59 : 86Southern Tigers W
2021.07.10Southern Tigers W87 : 39Central Districts Lions W
2021.05.01Central Districts Lions W34 : 118Southern Tigers W