Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 Central Women
Australia

Central Districts Lions WHOME · -
59 : 1052023.04.15 · 종료
South Adelaide Panthers WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME12.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY87.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
95/100
AI PICK
AWAY 88.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+87.1%
VALUE EDGE+87.1%
FAIR ODDS1.15
GRADEA
Central Districts Lions WAnalysis MetricsSouth Adelaide Panthers W
16.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
-20.25
Point MarginHigher is better
-0.42
156.08
Pace ProxyComparison metric
144.75
14.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
40.0%
9.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
8.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
74/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.5 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Central Districts Lions W
L · 39-95L · 88-80L · 63-80L · 116-53L · 74-66
South Adelaide Panthers W
W · 64-85L · 79-69W · 82-59L · 74-70W · 82-79
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.06.24 | South Adelaide Panthers W | 96 : 59 | Central Districts Lions W |
| 2023.04.15 | Central Districts Lions W | 59 : 105 | South Adelaide Panthers W |
| 2022.07.09 | South Adelaide Panthers W | 78 : 52 | Central Districts Lions W |
| 2022.04.30 | Central Districts Lions W | 71 : 93 | South Adelaide Panthers W |
| 2021.08.07 | Central Districts Lions W | 42 : 106 | South Adelaide Panthers W |
| 2021.06.05 | South Adelaide Panthers W | 127 : 54 | Central Districts Lions W |