Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 Central Women
Australia
Central Districts Lions WHOME · -
39 : 952023.04.06 · 종료
Norwood Flames WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME12.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY88.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
95/100
AI PICK
AWAY 88.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+88.0%
VALUE EDGE+88.0%
FAIR ODDS1.14
GRADES
Central Districts Lions WAnalysis MetricsNorwood Flames W
16.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
58.3%
-20.25
Point MarginHigher is better
+2.58
156.08
Pace ProxyComparison metric
152.58
14.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
50.0%
5.1일
Rest daysComparison metric
6.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
75/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.0 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Central Districts Lions W
L · 88-80L · 63-80L · 116-53L · 74-66L · 70-102
Norwood Flames W
L · 54-78L · 55-88L · 82-79W · 57-78W · 67-66
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.06.03 | Norwood Flames W | 68 : 72 | Central Districts Lions W |
| 2023.04.06 | Central Districts Lions W | 39 : 95 | Norwood Flames W |
| 2022.07.17 | Central Districts Lions W | 65 : 91 | Norwood Flames W |
| 2022.06.04 | Norwood Flames W | 85 : 53 | Central Districts Lions W |
| 2021.08.14 | Norwood Flames W | 96 : 47 | Central Districts Lions W |
| 2021.05.29 | Central Districts Lions W | 47 : 101 | Norwood Flames W |