Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 Central Women
Australia
Sturt Sabres WHOME · -
79 : 692023.04.01 · 종료
South Adelaide Panthers WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME57.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY42.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 53.3%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+57.3%
VALUE EDGE+57.3%
FAIR ODDS1.75
GRADES
Sturt Sabres WAnalysis MetricsSouth Adelaide Panthers W
91.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
+10.50
Point MarginHigher is better
-0.42
138.33
Pace ProxyComparison metric
144.75
85.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
40.0%
6.3일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
75/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.2 / 15
Prediction separation6.2 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Sturt Sabres W
W · 55-88L · 82-75W · 74-70L · 94-82W · 55-69
South Adelaide Panthers W
W · 82-59L · 74-70W · 82-79L · 55-69W · 81-85
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.05.14 | South Adelaide Panthers W | 58 : 70 | Sturt Sabres W |
| 2023.04.01 | Sturt Sabres W | 79 : 69 | South Adelaide Panthers W |
| 2022.08.27 | Sturt Sabres W | 74 : 70 | South Adelaide Panthers W |
| 2022.08.13 | South Adelaide Panthers W | 55 : 69 | Sturt Sabres W |
| 2022.07.30 | Sturt Sabres W | 78 : 70 | South Adelaide Panthers W |
| 2022.05.28 | South Adelaide Panthers W | 81 : 73 | Sturt Sabres W |
| 2021.08.21 | Sturt Sabres W | 79 : 93 | South Adelaide Panthers W |
| 2021.08.14 | South Adelaide Panthers W | 65 : 71 | Sturt Sabres W |
| 2021.05.29 | Sturt Sabres W | 83 : 69 | South Adelaide Panthers W |