Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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NBL1 Central Australia

Southern TigersHOME · -

71 : 1062024.05.11 · 종료

Norwood FlamesAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME22.6%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY77.4%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM76 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100

AI PICK AWAY 77.3% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +77.4%

VALUE EDGE+77.4%

FAIR ODDS1.29

GRADES

Southern TigersAnalysis MetricsNorwood Flames

8.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%

-15.08 Point MarginHigher is better -5.58

193.08 Pace ProxyComparison metric 173.75

20.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 20.0%

7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

76/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.9 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement14.8 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

22.6%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

77.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Southern Tigers

W · 71-83L · 79-89W · 67-70L · 99-93L · 81-108

Norwood Flames

W · 86-96L · 110-84W · 101-76L · 79-82L · 107-87

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2026.05.31	Norwood Flames	102 : 92	Southern Tigers
2026.03.28	Southern Tigers	77 : 99	Norwood Flames
2024.06.22	Norwood Flames	98 : 78	Southern Tigers
2024.05.11	Southern Tigers	71 : 106	Norwood Flames
2023.06.24	Southern Tigers	82 : 99	Norwood Flames