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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NBL1 Central Australia
Woodville WarriorsHOME · -
96 : 1042024.05.11 · 종료
Central Districts LionsAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME62.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY37.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 97/100
AI PICK HOME 57.5% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +62.2%
VALUE EDGE+62.2%
FAIR ODDS1.61
GRADEA
Woodville WarriorsAnalysis MetricsCentral Districts Lions
41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 75.0%
-0.17 Point MarginHigher is better +3.58
172.67 Pace ProxyComparison metric 178.08
42.9% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 75.0%
7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

69/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.6 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement7.4 / 15
Prediction separation10.4 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
62.2%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
37.8%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Woodville Warriors
L · 86-96L · 60-91W · 82-96W · 92-82L · 85-89
Central Districts Lions
L · 97-84L · 93-118L · 119-91L · 89-101W · 99-93

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.07.17Woodville Warriors79 : 90Central Districts Lions
2026.05.30Central Districts Lions80 : 77Woodville Warriors
2026.04.11Woodville Warriors97 : 83Central Districts Lions
2024.06.22Central Districts Lions111 : 84Woodville Warriors
2024.05.11Woodville Warriors96 : 104Central Districts Lions
2023.05.14Central Districts Lions103 : 84Woodville Warriors
2023.04.01Woodville Warriors61 : 54Central Districts Lions