Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

NBL1 Central Australia

North Adelaide RocketsHOME · -

71 : 832024.05.04 · 종료

Southern TigersAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME70.6%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY29.4%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100

AI PICK HOME 72.6% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +70.6%

VALUE EDGE+70.6%

FAIR ODDS1.42

GRADES

North Adelaide RocketsAnalysis MetricsSouthern Tigers

33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 8.3%

-8.25 Point MarginHigher is better -15.08

195.08 Pace ProxyComparison metric 193.08

33.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%

7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

75/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.9 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement13.3 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

70.6%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

29.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

North Adelaide Rockets

W · 93-118L · 79-107L · 88-107L · 92-82L · 104-82

Southern Tigers

L · 79-89W · 67-70L · 99-93L · 81-108L · 81-77

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2026.06.20	Southern Tigers	101 : 114	North Adelaide Rockets
2024.07.13	Southern Tigers	91 : 80	North Adelaide Rockets
2024.05.04	North Adelaide Rockets	71 : 83	Southern Tigers
2023.07.08	North Adelaide Rockets	92 : 83	Southern Tigers
2023.04.29	Southern Tigers	76 : 90	North Adelaide Rockets