Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 Central
Australia
Southern TigersHOME · -
79 : 892024.04.27 · 종료
Sturt SabresAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME13.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY86.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM76 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
95/100
AI PICK
AWAY 89.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+86.9%
VALUE EDGE+86.9%
FAIR ODDS1.15
GRADES
Southern TigersAnalysis MetricsSturt Sabres
8.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
58.3%
-15.08
Point MarginHigher is better
+2.50
193.08
Pace ProxyComparison metric
169.67
20.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
66.7%
2.2일
Rest daysComparison metric
2.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
76/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.9 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Southern Tigers
W · 67-70L · 99-93L · 81-108L · 81-77L · 81-105
Sturt Sabres
L · 82-96W · 89-101W · 97-94W · 77-92W · 62-104
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.06.27 | Southern Tigers | 67 : 91 | Sturt Sabres |
| 2026.04.24 | Sturt Sabres | 86 : 84 | Southern Tigers |
| 2024.07.06 | Sturt Sabres | 98 : 89 | Southern Tigers |
| 2024.04.27 | Southern Tigers | 79 : 89 | Sturt Sabres |
| 2023.07.02 | Sturt Sabres | 110 : 54 | Southern Tigers |
| 2023.05.13 | Southern Tigers | 80 : 90 | Sturt Sabres |