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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NBL1 Central Australia
West Adelaide BearcatsHOME · -
110 : 842024.04.27 · 종료
Norwood FlamesAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME67.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY32.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100
AI PICK HOME 68.1% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +67.8%
VALUE EDGE+67.8%
FAIR ODDS1.47
GRADEA
West Adelaide BearcatsAnalysis MetricsNorwood Flames
33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%
+1.00 Point MarginHigher is better -5.58
191.17 Pace ProxyComparison metric 173.75
50.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 20.0%
2.2일 Rest daysComparison metric 2.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

73/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.5 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
67.8%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
32.2%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
West Adelaide Bearcats
W · 79-107L · 84-81W · 83-82L · 92-98L · 104-93
Norwood Flames
W · 101-76L · 79-82L · 107-87L · 77-92L · 118-113

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.06.27Norwood Flames71 : 102West Adelaide Bearcats
2026.04.24West Adelaide Bearcats73 : 72Norwood Flames
2024.07.05Norwood Flames74 : 82West Adelaide Bearcats
2024.04.27West Adelaide Bearcats110 : 84Norwood Flames
2023.06.04West Adelaide Bearcats87 : 102Norwood Flames
2023.03.31Norwood Flames80 : 94West Adelaide Bearcats