Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 Central
Australia
Central Districts LionsHOME · -
89 : 1012024.04.20 · 종료
Sturt SabresAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME23.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY76.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
97/100
AI PICK
AWAY 77.3%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+76.7%
VALUE EDGE+76.7%
FAIR ODDS1.30
GRADEA
Central Districts LionsAnalysis MetricsSturt Sabres
75.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
58.3%
+3.58
Point MarginHigher is better
+2.50
178.08
Pace ProxyComparison metric
169.67
75.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
66.7%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
6.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
69/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.6 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement10.6 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Central Districts Lions
W · 99-93L · 83-82W · 118-113L · 95-107L · 91-82
Sturt Sabres
W · 97-94W · 77-92W · 62-104W · 100-84L · 96-73
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.07.25 | Sturt Sabres | 77 : 78 | Central Districts Lions |
| 2026.05.31 | Sturt Sabres | 84 : 81 | Central Districts Lions |
| 2026.03.28 | Central Districts Lions | 91 : 111 | Sturt Sabres |
| 2024.06.29 | Sturt Sabres | 120 : 108 | Central Districts Lions |
| 2024.04.20 | Central Districts Lions | 89 : 101 | Sturt Sabres |
| 2023.07.08 | Sturt Sabres | 91 : 82 | Central Districts Lions |
| 2023.04.29 | Central Districts Lions | 55 : 99 | Sturt Sabres |