Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 Central
Australia
Sturt SabresHOME · -
97 : 942024.04.14 · 종료
South Adelaide PanthersAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME68.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY31.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
99/100
AI PICK
HOME 68.1%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+68.5%
VALUE EDGE+68.5%
FAIR ODDS1.46
GRADEA
Sturt SabresAnalysis MetricsSouth Adelaide Panthers
58.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
66.7%
+2.50
Point MarginHigher is better
+7.00
169.67
Pace ProxyComparison metric
182.50
50.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
66.7%
7.9일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
70/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.0 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Sturt Sabres
W · 77-92W · 62-104W · 100-84L · 96-73W · 98-71
South Adelaide Panthers
W · 104-82W · 92-98W · 81-77L · 98-71W · 92-81
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.07.18 | Sturt Sabres | 89 : 101 | South Adelaide Panthers |
| 2026.05.23 | South Adelaide Panthers | 103 : 79 | Sturt Sabres |
| 2026.03.21 | Sturt Sabres | 96 : 93 | South Adelaide Panthers |
| 2024.06.16 | South Adelaide Panthers | 87 : 68 | Sturt Sabres |
| 2024.04.14 | Sturt Sabres | 97 : 94 | South Adelaide Panthers |
| 2023.07.30 | Sturt Sabres | 98 : 71 | South Adelaide Panthers |
| 2023.05.14 | South Adelaide Panthers | 59 : 87 | Sturt Sabres |
| 2023.04.01 | Sturt Sabres | 64 : 76 | South Adelaide Panthers |