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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NBL1 Central Australia
Central Districts LionsHOME · -
99 : 932024.04.13 · 종료
Southern TigersAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME78.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY22.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM76 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100
AI PICK HOME 77.3% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +78.0%
VALUE EDGE+78.0%
FAIR ODDS1.28
GRADES
Central Districts LionsAnalysis MetricsSouthern Tigers
75.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 8.3%
+3.58 Point MarginHigher is better -15.08
178.08 Pace ProxyComparison metric 193.08
75.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%
7.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

76/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.6 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
78.0%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
22.0%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Central Districts Lions
L · 83-82W · 118-113L · 95-107L · 91-82L · 86-120
Southern Tigers
L · 81-108L · 81-77L · 81-105L · 92-83L · 74-95

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.05.23Central Districts Lions113 : 86Southern Tigers
2026.03.21Southern Tigers82 : 116Central Districts Lions
2024.06.16Southern Tigers96 : 102Central Districts Lions
2024.04.13Central Districts Lions99 : 93Southern Tigers
2023.06.17Central Districts Lions100 : 73Southern Tigers
2023.04.22Southern Tigers80 : 104Central Districts Lions