Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 Central
Australia

Central Districts LionsHOME · -
99 : 932024.04.13 · 종료
Southern TigersAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME78.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY22.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM76 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
95/100
AI PICK
HOME 77.3%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+78.0%
VALUE EDGE+78.0%
FAIR ODDS1.28
GRADES
Central Districts LionsAnalysis MetricsSouthern Tigers
75.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
8.3%
+3.58
Point MarginHigher is better
-15.08
178.08
Pace ProxyComparison metric
193.08
75.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
0.0%
7.1일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
76/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.6 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Central Districts Lions
L · 83-82W · 118-113L · 95-107L · 91-82L · 86-120
Southern Tigers
L · 81-108L · 81-77L · 81-105L · 92-83L · 74-95
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.05.23 | Central Districts Lions | 113 : 86 | Southern Tigers |
| 2026.03.21 | Southern Tigers | 82 : 116 | Central Districts Lions |
| 2024.06.16 | Southern Tigers | 96 : 102 | Central Districts Lions |
| 2024.04.13 | Central Districts Lions | 99 : 93 | Southern Tigers |
| 2023.06.17 | Central Districts Lions | 100 : 73 | Southern Tigers |
| 2023.04.22 | Southern Tigers | 80 : 104 | Central Districts Lions |