Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 Central
Australia
West Adelaide BearcatsHOME · -
83 : 822024.04.06 · 종료
Central Districts LionsAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME74.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY25.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM67 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
95/100
AI PICK
HOME 72.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+74.6%
VALUE EDGE+74.6%
FAIR ODDS1.34
GRADEB
West Adelaide BearcatsAnalysis MetricsCentral Districts Lions
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
75.0%
+1.00
Point MarginHigher is better
+3.58
191.17
Pace ProxyComparison metric
178.08
50.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
75.0%
8.1일
Rest daysComparison metric
9.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
67/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement6.0 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
West Adelaide Bearcats
L · 92-98L · 104-93L · 129-96L · 114-61W · 95-106
Central Districts Lions
W · 118-113L · 95-107L · 91-82L · 86-120L · 86-83
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.07.04 | West Adelaide Bearcats | 89 : 104 | Central Districts Lions |
| 2026.04.18 | Central Districts Lions | 113 : 88 | West Adelaide Bearcats |
| 2024.07.20 | West Adelaide Bearcats | 110 : 98 | Central Districts Lions |
| 2024.06.15 | Central Districts Lions | 97 : 83 | West Adelaide Bearcats |
| 2024.04.06 | West Adelaide Bearcats | 83 : 82 | Central Districts Lions |
| 2023.05.06 | West Adelaide Bearcats | 110 : 99 | Central Districts Lions |