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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NBL1 Central Australia
Norwood FlamesHOME · -
77 : 922024.04.06 · 종료
Sturt SabresAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME34.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY66.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100
AI PICK AWAY 68.1% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +66.0%
VALUE EDGE+66.0%
FAIR ODDS1.52
GRADEA
Norwood FlamesAnalysis MetricsSturt Sabres
33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 58.3%
-5.58 Point MarginHigher is better +2.50
173.75 Pace ProxyComparison metric 169.67
42.9% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 66.7%
8.9일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

73/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.9 / 15
Prediction separation13.7 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
34.0%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
66.0%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Norwood Flames
L · 118-113W · 92-78W · 88-90L · 95-66W · 100-98
Sturt Sabres
W · 62-104W · 100-84L · 96-73W · 98-71L · 90-89

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.06.13Norwood Flames67 : 74Sturt Sabres
2024.06.15Sturt Sabres94 : 92Norwood Flames
2024.04.06Norwood Flames77 : 92Sturt Sabres
2023.05.27Sturt Sabres89 : 78Norwood Flames
2023.03.26Norwood Flames66 : 102Sturt Sabres