Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 Central
Australia
Central Districts LionsHOME · -
118 : 1132024.03.28 · 종료
Norwood FlamesAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME35.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY64.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
95/100
AI PICK
AWAY 57.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+64.5%
VALUE EDGE+64.5%
FAIR ODDS1.55
GRADEA
Central Districts LionsAnalysis MetricsNorwood Flames
75.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
+3.58
Point MarginHigher is better
-5.58
178.08
Pace ProxyComparison metric
173.75
75.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
20.0%
5.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
4.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
70/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement6.3 / 15
Prediction separation12.4 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Central Districts Lions
L · 95-107L · 91-82L · 86-120L · 86-83W · 100-73
Norwood Flames
W · 92-78W · 88-90L · 95-66W · 100-98W · 110-82
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.07.11 | Central Districts Lions | 110 : 100 | Norwood Flames |
| 2026.05.09 | Norwood Flames | 87 : 88 | Central Districts Lions |
| 2024.05.26 | Norwood Flames | 89 : 104 | Central Districts Lions |
| 2024.03.28 | Central Districts Lions | 118 : 113 | Norwood Flames |
| 2023.06.03 | Norwood Flames | 88 : 91 | Central Districts Lions |
| 2023.04.06 | Central Districts Lions | 83 : 92 | Norwood Flames |