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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NBL1 Central Australia
Sturt SabresHOME · -
100 : 842024.03.23 · 종료
Forestville EaglesAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME61.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY38.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 57.5% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +61.1%
VALUE EDGE+61.1%
FAIR ODDS1.64
GRADEA
Sturt SabresAnalysis MetricsForestville Eagles
58.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 91.7%
+2.50 Point MarginHigher is better +17.58
169.67 Pace ProxyComparison metric 178.92
50.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 100.0%
14.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

70/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement7.5 / 15
Prediction separation9.5 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
61.1%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
38.9%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Sturt Sabres
L · 96-73W · 98-71L · 90-89W · 73-123L · 96-85
Forestville Eagles
L · 95-106W · 81-83W · 90-89W · 95-107W · 113-115

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.05.30Forestville Eagles95 : 76Sturt Sabres
2026.04.11Sturt Sabres84 : 82Forestville Eagles
2024.08.03Forestville Eagles91 : 84Sturt Sabres
2024.07.20Sturt Sabres85 : 106Forestville Eagles
2024.06.01Forestville Eagles98 : 111Sturt Sabres
2024.03.23Sturt Sabres100 : 84Forestville Eagles
2023.07.22Forestville Eagles90 : 89Sturt Sabres
2023.06.24Sturt Sabres84 : 90Forestville Eagles
2023.04.15Forestville Eagles78 : 81Sturt Sabres